I have updated the predicted country&teamranking'12 after this weeks EL MD6. Shocking to see 3 English teams being eliminated! But that's what EL is all about: surprises. I like it, despite it is because big teams don't take it serious all the time.
Looking at the graph we see a big downfall of Holland. That is because of the draw. PSV was supposed to reach the semi-final of EL, but now drew Valencia in the next round and will already be eliminated.
On the other hand we see a big rise of Belgium. That is not just because they did fantastic, but also because Anderlecht and Standard were of the lower half of the seeded teams, but still qualify for the quarters as they have drawn even lower teams (Anderlecht(9) drew PAOK(17) and Standard (13) drew Brugge(14)). That was at the cost of PSV(3) drawing Valencia(2) and Manchester City(8) drawing Sporting(5)
Lyon- APOEL can be a very interesting fight - looking at ... Read more »
Finaly an update again. It's a mess, sorry. But I have new updates
I have completed checking all teamnames so e.g. the Croatioan teams have all the correct coefficient (the asame as Bert says it must be :) )
Sumemr leagues have ended, even some of their cups!. In RUssia still half a competition is played to switch to winterseasn starting 12/13. I hope they will not get into too much trouble with the weather.
CL GS is finsihed. With quit some surprises. 2 English/Manchester teams out to EL. Lille out, who last year let the EL go to win the title and play CL. Unfortunately they couldnt keep that domestic level.
Ajax eliminated/Lyon qualified after a shocking 1-7. ANd to me more devastating were the 2 disallowed Ajax-goals. It would have been another match if.....
Strangely enough this week in EL the same kind of stuff can happen: If AZ draws and Austria wins by more than 6 goals, Austria c... Read more »
Just before some NT play their most important matches, I found some time to update domestic leagues.
All summer leagues have their champions crowned, congratulations to them all of course. Now you can see what is their fate. Well, with the new EL system there will be a massive 39 EL-Q1 matches played in June, directly followed by 40 EL-Q2 matches. In 1 month a lot of the teams already are out of the competition, while the summer has not even begun. Sorry, I don't like the new system
For now it looks like we will have an interesting CL non champion play off again, with Chelsea, Shakthar, AC Milan, CSKA, Sporting, Olympiakos, Twente, Lille. Of course a lot will still change (except CSKA, they are qualified already)
Sorry for the long time there is no update. This week there were the GS MD4's. Things are getting clearer already, though some groups are still very much open. I have updated the prediction for the team- and countryranking 2012. Cyprus is doing wonderfull. That is even if APOEL will not make it to the CL_KO rounds. We see Portugal in a fight with Italy over te 4th spot. With Porto falling down to EL, they are the highest coefficient team there andso will win it (again) That does help them. France on a distance. Russia getting ahead for 7th, Holland falling a little back, though Porto's visit to EL is one of the reasons for it, as 3 out of the 4 Dutch teams are already at least secured of the next round EL(Only AZ has moved themselves into trouble) Belgium is clear 12th. A challenging for 10th is still far away.
Cyprus is moving in on Switzerland and Austria! They are only 1.051 points behind Switzerland and Austria is just 0.275 ahead of that. This is counting APO... Read more »
Just before I go on vacation ( I leave in 6 hours) I updated the CL/EL candidateslist for 12/13. With the National Teams playing, not that much happened last week, but Some changes did happen.
I have updated the EL format to the new qualification system, I don't like the system, I already explained on Bert's forum (1).
Next week I will be gone, so I will miss the first teams that qualify (?) for next round CL or EL. Well I will be following it, but al not sure yet is I can comment on it on Bert's forum. I certainly will not be able to update my predictions for team and country ranking '12. With the new acces list out, I can also start with predicting team- and countryranking'13. Hmm that will too need some work. Nice.
Finaly all new sheets for the new season are here. We already have the first champions in Sweden and Iceland. Check out how it will develop.
Also all GS-MD2 results are in. Portugal drops to 5th again, Holland takes the lead in 7th spot, Belgium is looking closer to 11th spot than to 13th spot. Over 15th spot is no discussion.
Some great shocks last night, with Sevilla and Roma out.
Also Scotland wiped out, that's a first time for them. Aye
The predicted countryranking see a fight for 4th spot between Italy and Portugal, and an extreme close fight for 7th spot between Russia, Ukraine and Holland. Holland seems to be getting a massive 14.400 points due to AZ and Twente moving up to EL group 1, and PSV upto losing finalist in EL. It seems fantastic, but I fear it won't be reached.
12th spot is firm in the hands of Belgium now, with 4 teams still in play they do great
After a long vacation I am back to update country- and teamranking to include Q2 and Q3 results.
We already had the first leg of Q4, but those results will be included after next week. When the eliminations will cause some dramatic affect. Maybe. There could be some surprises. Like Sevilla, Athletic, Schalke, Roma or Panathinaikos. After losing Olympiakos Volou, this would certainly blow a hole in Greece aspirations for the 9th spot. Though also PSV and AZ did not get inspired and could be eliminated next week.
A fight that could get interesting is 12th spot. Denmark has OB and FCK in a Groupstage, though that very well might become EL for both. Nordsjaelland seem not to have a real chance vs. Sporting, though the 0-0 is not a decision. But Belgium did well, ok CLub could not manage to hold on to the win in Georgia, but they can finish it, hopefully, at home. Anderlecht already won the away game, while Standard won vs. Helsingborg(but wasn't Helsingborg doin... Read more »
Hi All I will be enjoying my vacation the coming month. Sorry there will be no updates in the predictions 2012 before Q4. I will calculate the intermediate standings after the Q-rounds, so they will be shown in the graphic afterwards. I'm hoping for some sunny days soon....
Tonight the new season starts with the first 2 CL-Q1 matches. Followed Thursday by 25 EL-Q1 matches. My vacation haven't started yet, so a new season starting is a bit weird to me, Luckily(?) I'm no professional football player, so I still will enjoy my vaction in a couple of weeks...
For the reason of the new season coming up I have updated all sheets with the last information. The pre-season prediction is ready for the country- and team ranking of 2012. Let's see how well everybody will do this year.
It seems sure now that Timisoara will not get a license and so will not play in the European competitions next year. Romania places shift. It means now Olympiakos Volos is now seeded in EL-Q3, because the new Romanian team Gaz Metian Medias will not be seeded there.
And all leagues have finished, all Cups have their winners. It seems we have all teams in a row, ready for qualification. Of course we still have to wait for teams that are rejected their license (Timisoara?), teams getting disqualified and other stuff. But all matches on the field are played.
And only a couple of domestic rounds left, a few more cuptitles and the English FairPlay spot, and all candidates will be known for the next season. That will start within a month.
Only 2 titles still to be claimed: the one of Montenegro and the one of San Marino. 9 more countries still have a domestic league to finish. And 7 Cup titles to be won.
All will be ended in a couple of days. Sunday the last matches will be played.
It looks like we will have an interesting Play Off round, though that is still far away. As well CL as EL looks intersting. I already mentioned before that non seeded teams like Dyn. Kiev, Udinese, Panathinaikos, Twente, Rubin Kazan will give their best to make an upset.
But in EL we have unseeded teams like Hannover, Mainz, Socheaux, Dnjepr, Trabzonspor, etc., while the seeded side has Rennes, Stoke City, Birmingham City, etc.
I have updated the leagues with all latest results. A lot of leagues have ended now, only a few champions are still to be crowned Switzerland, Austria, Serbia, Montenegro and San Marino. IN more countries still teh Eruopean League spots still have to be filled in.
This Wednesday already a lot more will be known with a few league rounds and a lot of cupfinals going on.
In the mean time we have seen that the CL Play Off will be with great teams: Bayern, Arsenal, Lyon (maybe), Benfica,Villarreal, Udinese, Dynamo Kiev and (maybe) Panathinaikos . AS Roma did not make, and Fenerbahce managed to become champion. It could have been worse. Twente and Standard will having trouble qualifying, of course if they even make it to that round, with Rubin, Zurich and Trabzonspor as possible opponents.
